Locally developed climate model verified

Abstract

Climate prediction I n particular, it is believed that the model can be used with greater assurance than current methods for multi-year simulations required for water resource development and management. In November 2005, during the then present drought, the first of four flood alerts were issued based on the model. Details of action for local authorities to limit the potential loss of life in informal settlements were included. Three months later large regions of the African subcontinent were wetter and greener than at any time in human memory. Floods occurred in many rivers from Angola in the north through to the coastal rivers of the southern Cape. Dams filled over most of the region. The loss of life was minimal thanks to the emergency services in the areas. The threatened succulent (Quiver tree) and fynbos species are now in a healthy condition throughout the region.

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